Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Game 6

  • This game is a repeat of the pitching matchup from game 2 where both pitchers did very well.  Garcia pitches much better at home, which is no secret and the reason why he has pitched 3 out of his 4 games at home this postseason (this being 4 of 5).  In his three starts at home Garcia has went 18.2 innings and allowed 4 runs.  Unfortunately for the Cardinals they are only 1-3 in games in which Garcia has started, though most of that has been because of a poor offense and not because of Garcia.
  • Colby Lewis on the other hand has started all of his games on the road this postseason.  He has pitched 18.1 innings and allowed a total of 6 runs.  So both pitchers have been doing well, which was seen in game 2.  Lewis was able to do something different though against the Cardinals than he usually does and that was forcing a lot more ground balls.  He didn't allow a homerun to the Cardinals, but had allowed 3 in 11.2 innings before that, so if the Cardinals can make better contact they may have a better chance of scoring more runs off of Lewis.  
  • The game is back in St. Louis and its suppose to rain, so there really shouldn't be any reason to believe that scoring will be easier here in St. Louis than it was in Texas, but after the Cardinals 16 run scoring romp they only managed 2 runs in the next two games, so one would believe (hope) that they would be able to put up more runs in front of the home crowd.  
  • This will be the 7th straight road start for Lewis, which I would believe would have some sort of impact on the guy but they are 4-2 during that span.  Yet, one difference that I noticed is that he was able to get the Cardinals to hit a lot of ground balls and I believe that is key for the Cardinals to step up and not hit into double plays, groundouts, etc. if they are wanting to win this game, as they can't have another lob frenzy like they did last game if they want to win the World Series.
  • My prediction is that with the series on the line the Cardinals are able to make better contact and have a game that is not overly filled with ground balls that allow them to score some runs off of Lewis.  I believe that Garcia will continue pitching as well as he has been and that the Cardinals will be able to actually put forth an offensive effort to help him out and the Cardinals win and force a game 7.

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