Thursday, September 29, 2011

Division Series

Well the MLB playoffs are about to start and so its time to just tell you what is going to happen now so that you don't have to make a choice between watching football and baseball

Tampa Bay vs Texas
Game 1 ( Moore vs Wilson)
        This game seems easy enough Wilson has been a quality starter all year for Texas, while this would be Moore's second career start for Tampa and with the odds with Texas at -180 its pretty easy to see which way I am gonna go on this one.....thats right Tampa Bay takes game 1 as Moore is absolutely dominant...I don't care if he is 22 and this is his second mlb start and its the first game of the playoffs on the road....Tampa wins

Game 2 (Shields vs Holland)
         Surely, Tampa isn't going to win both games in Texas right?.....nope they sure are..Shields last six starts have been against 3 teams: the Yankees, Red Sox, and Rangers.....allowing just one run in 17 innings pitched against the Rangers.....Holland hasn't pitched well against a good team for a while now other than a 7 inning shutout against the Redsox on Sept. 2nd.....Ima give this one to Tampa as well so they are taking a 2 game lead back home with them

Game 3 (my projected starters: Price vs Harrison)
         Now to say that Tampa is going to win in a sweep would be putting me in a tough spot, since if Texas wins one of their games at home I just look silly...buts that's what I am all about Tampa sends out Price to take care of Texas and he outduels Harrison....Tampa wins in 3 games


Detroit vs New York
Game 1 (Verlander vs does it matter?)
            No it doesn't matter who New York sends out there to pitch, because Detroit has Justin Verlander pitching.....Detroit wins

Game 2 (Fister vs Nova)
           The plan for Detroit should really just be to win one of these other games, knowing that Verlander is going to pitch in another game that they are going to win....soooo is this the game to do it?? Yes, yes it is....you know who is pitching almost as good as Justin Verlander....Doug Fister.  He is 7-0 since August 20th having a mind blowing 4 earned runs in 55.2 innings.....so yeah though Philly may have the most feared pitching staff in the playoffs, the Tigers are pretty overlooked well other than Verlander.

Game 3 (Scherzer vs Garcia)
           How can I go against a guy that is from St. Louis and went to Mizzou....I can't Scherzer wins Tigers sweep.


Arizona vs Milwaukee
Game 1 (Kennedy vs Gallardo)
            This is just silly I don't really care about this matchup at all so here we go ummmm...Arizona wins
Game 2 (donk vs donk)
           Milwaukee wins
Game 3 (TBA vs Greinke)
         Im pretty sure I can outpitch TBA so Milwaukee
Game 4 (TBA vs TBA)
          seems like a pretty even pitching matchup so Arizona
Game 5 (TBA vs TBA)
         Get the joke Equestria Daily......Milwaukee wins in 5

Now you may be thinking to yourself....wow why even make a post if you aren't gonna do it seriously...well look you are coming to a blog with a bunch of ponies all around looking for advice on what is going to happen in sports now that's just silly (note: that it really isn't silly and you should continue to do so).  Truth be told I see the 12 to 1 that Bodog is offering on the Cardinals to win the World Series and think wowy I had them at 225 to 1 so I already won...which is why I am making bets on the Cards (12 to 1), Tigers (7 to 1), and Tampa (9 to 1)....assuming that the Cardinals are going to win the World Series against one of those two teams (the Tigers)

Sunday, September 25, 2011

The Cardinals and the Wild Card Race


With 3 games to go the St. Louis Cardinals are only one game back of the Atlanta Braves in the wildcard and a playoff spot.  The bad news for the Cardinals is that they are having to go on the road  while the Braves get to play at home and of course that they are one game back and having to play catch up still.  The good news is that the Braves are playing against Philadelphia who have the best record in baseball and are scheduled to have Lee, Oswalt, and Hamels pitch, while the Cardinals get to go to Houston, who have the worst record in baseball.

Atlanta vs Philadelphia
Game 1 (Delgado vs Lee)
        Randall Delgado just got his first career win on the 20th and has only pitched over 5 innings once when he pitched 6 over a month ago.  Yet, he has done good for those 5 innings that he is in never having more than 3 earned runs in 6 appearances which the braves are 4-2 in.  The bullpen has been very very very good to Delgado only allowing 5 runs in the 23 innings that they had to pitch (fun fact: those 5 runs came in two of the 6 games...the two the braves lost)...so this is basically how good is the braves bullpen going to be.  Cliff Lee is pitching for Philly and they have won 9 of the last 10 games that he has pitched.  He also hasn't allowed more than 2 runs in a game since July, and he will give you the innings that you need unlike Delgado so far....so my pick in this one is Philly.

Game 2 (Lowe vs Oswalt)
        This matchup has two struggling pitchers going at and once again I am going to give the edge to Philly....as Oswalt can go much deeper into games putting the pressure once again on Atlanta's bullpen the next night after they are going to be used up from Delgado pitching.  Also Oswalt has shown signs of being great lately while Lowe has shown signs of being just awful (6ER, 9Hits, 2.1 IP on Sept. 16th vs the Mets).

Game 3 (Hudson vs Hamels)
      Despite exiting Friday's start early, and spending some time at the hospital afterward, Hudson (neck) believes he will be able to make his next start, MLB.com's Mark Bowman reports.  That's not what you are really wanting to hear if you are a braves fan.  Though, I can see Hudson pitching in this game and doing just fine especially with so much on the line...I still will have to go with Philly again as I find this to be a close matchup and with the injury only adding on to the idea that Philly should win...but for funsy sakes I'll say that the Braves take this meaning the Cardinals need to win at least 2 of 3 to tie and a sweep to win outright.

St. Louis vs Houston
Game 1 (Garcia vs Rodriguez)
          Wandy has been consistent averaging three earned runs in his past 6 games.  Garcia has been pitching great his last 4 outings and hopefully he can continue to do so, because he does show signs of getting roughed up every so often, especially on the road....this is a game that the Cardinals would really like to win and if my predictions are right would be able to tie up the wildcard tonight with a win, but Garcia just seems to pitch so much better at home than on the road and most of his recent success just so happens to be at home...but hopefully that isn't the case and he is just in the zone at this point and the Cardinals take it though I think this one may be a toughie.

Game 2 (Westbrook vs Sosa)
         Sosa has the capability of being blown out...he will allow homeruns and he will walk people...if the Cardinals hitters can be patient and wait for their pitches I think they should have no problem and may end up scoring in double digits this game.  Sosa pitched well in his last outing, but with so much on the line and having every at bat really count at this point, I think the Cardinals offense will be able to win this one.  Westbrook has been having some troubles finding the strike zone lately allowing a bunch of walks, but hasn't really been earning a lot of runs against him, which will be key for this one.

Game 3 (Carpenter vs Myers)
        This is by far the game of the series and if it wasn't already a huge game to watch, becomes even more so with this pitching matchup Myers has been pitching out of his mind as of late having allowed 1 earned run in each of his past 6 games.  This should be a great pitching duel and hopefully Carpenter is able to keep them off the board early and the Cardinals can take an early lead so that this game won't be too stressful....but after what should be a high scoring game in game 2...there will be a low scoring pitching duel in game 3 that may determine whether the Cardinals are going to be heading to the playoffs or not.


My prediction is that Atlanta is only able to take one away from struggling Philly who I believe are going to be doing their best to get themselves back into playoff shape and a winning mentality, while the Cardinals should be able to win 2 or 3 from Houston having them win the wild card and the Cardinals going to the playoffs.

Thursday, September 8, 2011

Its the Art of the Draft

 If you are playing any fantasy games on ESPN look for my group Friendship is Magic...I pretty much play everything so if you are looking for a group I got one for u!

With football season starting today, I decided to do an espn auction draft and share with everypony how exactly you are suppose to do an auction draft and win your league easily....a few starting points for an auction draft you start with $200 and you bid on players the pony that ends up with the highest bid ends up with that player its really not that difficult....from my experience these drafts go similarly to snake drafts in that you just take what people give you pretty much, but you have the ability to form a super team in an auction draft that you are just not capable of in a snake draft....I will be writing in this blog during the draft so will go through my thought process on making a dominant team...

I had the second nomination and nominated 3 kickers the first 3 times it came around to me....all of them went to somepony else for $2

I got Adrian Peterson for $63 which was quite a bit but after watching the first couple of picks go by these ponies showed that they were all willing to pay a lot for a player so I had to make a move imo

I then got Arian Foster for $50 thanks to his hamstring problems, which is less than what I feel I should have got him for making up for the 3 or 4 that I over spent on Peterson easily

Next I got Peyton Hillis for $24, I really didn't want to spend that much money in this spot...but Hillis was the last real running back that I saw left on the board and his bye week fit in with Peterson and Foster...

haha...somepony just accidently bid $113 for Schaub (he already has Vick)

Needing Wide Receivers at this point and with not many good ones left I got Dez Bryant for $17 and then got Roy Williams the next pick for $5 followed by Brandon Lloyd for $8.

I then got my 4th running back in Cedric Benson for $11...and now planning on saving up some money to make sure that I can get Matt Ryan

Missed out on Matt Ryan he went for $15 when he was projected at $10 by some guy that I guess wanted him as a backup

Looks like Joe Flacco is my starter for now...got him for $1 and have the highest maximum bid at this point...which means that I also got Marshawn Lynch and Mark Ingram for $4 after that..

I finished with Steve Smith, Lance Kendricks, San Francisco Def, Billy Cundiff, Daniel Thomas, and Kevin Kolb

 now there are a couple of little tricks that I did in the draft to help get my position there was somepony that didn't show up which means they auto bid up to the projected value this makes it harder to get steals in the draft so one of the ways is try to dump players on them so that their roster fills up and you can get steals later (they ended up with $103 leftover)

Another was looking at who they already had on their team...for example I let DeSean Jackson go for $20 to a team that was expressing interest in Matt Ryan over the chat (didn't end up helping my case there), but they also had spent $49 and $45 on Andre Johnson and Roddy White as well as $54 on Ray Rice...this meant that they were gonna be practically out of money and would no longer be a threat to other players that I wanted to get (they currently have two RBs on their roster Ray Rice and James Starks).


which to make things a lot easier means that my team ends up like this
QB- Joe Flacco, Kevin Kolb
RB- Adrian Peterson, Arian Foster, Peyton Hillis, Cedric Benson, Marshawn Lynch, Mark Ingram, Daniel Thomas
WR- Dez Bryant, Roy Williams, Brandon Lloyd, Steve Smith
TE- Lance Kendricks
K- Billy Cundiff
DEF- San Francisco



tho this draft didn't really go as well as I had planned on it I am still pretty happy with my team...my projected stats r not looking as good as they should as Kendricks is not projected to do anything and I feel that San Francisco's defense will do better than expected...as well as hoping that Flacco can get the passing game going now that he has a deep threat in Evans

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Bold Predictions

Well I got bored and decided that I would take a look at some bets that could have a huge payoff if well my donkey ideas work....

First, the St. Louis Cardinals are 7.5 games out of a wild card spot and play the braves three times at home...so I am going to say that the Cardinals pull off some donkey magic here at the end and get into the playoffs....which means that I am looking at the 225/1 odds on the Cardinals to win the world series or 125/1 on them to win the NL as huge payoffs if they can pull out some crazy donkey magic here at the end.

Now on to the NFL...im gonna start by saying that the Offensive Rookie of the Year is going to be Lance Kendricks (12/1) and the MVP is going to be Matt Ryan (16/1).  Adrian Peterson is going to lead the league in rushing (5/1) and Matt Ryan is going to be a surprise and lead the league in passing yards (25/1). 

Looking at the Rams the over/under for season wins is set at 7.5 and I am going to go with the over on that (5/6). 

The Rugby world cup is coming up and should end up being dominated by New Zealand...the United States is pretty much outmatched when it comes to rugby, but can hopefully leave with at least one win in the group stage in their match against Russia who is going to be in the cup for the first time.

The Champions League will also be starting soon and I should be making a post soon dedicated to it...but just in case I don't find the time to do it, I am going to predict that Real Madrid ends up winning it (5/1).